Futurists talk about the “Singularity”, the time when computational capacity will surpass the capacity of human intelligence. Ray Kurzweil predicts it will happen in 2045. The flaw with any date estimate, other than the fact that they are always prone to extreme error, is that our software today has no learning capacity, because the idea of continuous learning is not yet a part of the foundation. Even the learning capabilities of an ant would be useful.
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motters
14 years 23 weeks 1 day 1 hour ago
Be sceptical of singularitarianism
"Anything accomplished in our parallel brain could also be accomplished on computers of today"
This is an overconfident assertion. We don't know enough about the detail of how neurons communicate to be able to make such a statement at present. The existing neural net models are usually very simplified abstract "point" systems (eg Izhikevich), which may bear little resemblance to what the biological system is doing.
Also there are various issues with the computational paradigm which are frequently overlooked. Even Turing recognised that there are categories of problem which are not amenable to resolution with his machine. It seems to me that these issues remain outstanding.
Also, I don't think it's a good idea to become too obsessed by particular dates and prophesies. Such thinking is not very rational, and renders the mind vulnerable to arriving at all kinds of conclusions of dubious merit.